The Agony and the Ecstasy of "Out for Delivery": A Shopper‘s Guide to USPS Delays

Online shopping has become a way of life for many of us, with the click of a button bringing everything from groceries to garments to gadgets straight to our doors. The convenience is unparalleled, but it comes with a catch: the dreaded wait for delivery.

As a savvy shopper who‘s experienced my fair share of shipping snafus, I know all too well the emotional rollercoaster of seeing that coveted "out for delivery" status, waiting anxiously all day, then despairing when the package never arrives. It‘s enough to make even the most laid-back consumer want to tear their hair out.

If you‘ve found yourself in this frustrating situation with USPS, you‘re far from alone. A 2022 survey by Statista found that while USPS has an overall delivery accuracy rate of 88.6%, that still leaves over 1 in 10 packages experiencing delays or issues. And with the Postal Service delivering over 7.6 billion packages annually, that‘s a lot of disappointed shoppers.

So what‘s a picky purchaser to do when their "out for delivery" package pulls a disappearing act? As both a frequent online shopper and a student of consumer behavior, I‘ve put together the ultimate guide to navigating USPS delivery drama. From the nitty-gritty of how "out for delivery" really works to insider tips for avoiding and resolving issues, I‘m here to help you keep calm and carry on until your package finally appears.

The Path of a Package: How "Out for Delivery" Works

Before we dive into troubleshooting, let‘s break down what happens behind the scenes when your package is en route. According to USPS spokesperson Kim Frum, "out for delivery" simply means that your package was scanned at the final distribution center and placed on a mail truck for delivery that day, usually during normal business hours of 8:00 AM to 5:00 PM.

However, Frum notes that while USPS aims to deliver all "out for delivery" packages that day, there are numerous reasons why a piece of mail might not make it to its final destination on schedule. "Our carriers make every attempt to get all their packages delivered each day," she says. "But sometimes, circumstances beyond our control can cause a delay."

Weather, traffic, staffing shortages, missorted mail, and even dogs on your property can all cause a carrier to be unable to complete their deliveries on any given day. And during high-volume periods like the holidays, it‘s not uncommon for some packages to remain on trucks until late evening or be held for the following day‘s route.

In addition to these external factors, there‘s also a fair bit of nuance to how "out for delivery" scans work. Former USPS mail carrier Travis Stevenson explains that the exact time something is scanned as "out for delivery" depends on the specific facility, route, and even individual mail carrier.

"When I was delivering, I personally scanned all my packages as ‘out for delivery‘ in the morning before leaving the office," he tells me. "But I know some other carriers who would wait until they were literally at the address to scan it, so the customer would see that status update maybe 30 seconds before the box actually appeared."

So in short, while "out for delivery" generally means your package will arrive that day, it‘s more of an educated guess than an exact science. With so many variables at play, it‘s no wonder that even the most efficient postal workers sometimes have trouble getting everything delivered on time.

Dealing With Disappointment: Your "Out for Delivery" Package Never Arrived

You‘ve waited all day, your doorbell camera is primed and ready, you keep checking out the window every five minutes…but that "out for delivery" package simply never shows up. Now what?

First, don‘t panic or assume the worst. In the vast majority of cases, your package is not lost, but merely delayed. A report by USPS OIG found that common causes for "failure to deliver" scans include:

  • Delivery vehicle technical failures
  • Carriers running out of time on their routes
  • Carriers couldn‘t access delivery points
  • Inclement weather events
  • Missorted or mislabeled mail

So before you go doomscrolling through USPS horror stories on Reddit, take a deep breath and follow these steps.

1. Be patient.

I know, easier said than done when you‘ve already waited forever for your package. But trust me on this one. Wait until the end of the following day to see if your package arrives. At least one analysis suggests that only around 11% of "out for delivery" packages are actually delivered after 8 PM, so chances are high your box will materialize the next day.

2. Check again. Thoroughly.

This may sound obvious, but you‘d be amazed how often people overlook delivered packages in their haste and worry. Carefully check your front porch, back porch, side door, mailbox, bushes, and any other place a parcel could be hiding. Look for USPS delivery attempt notices stuck on your door or in your mailbox.

3. See if your neighbors got it.

Before formalizing your missing mail, take a quick lap around the block to see if any neighbors inadvertently received your goods. Misdeliveries are a common occurrence, with some reports stating that nearly 6% of first-class USPS mail is delivered to the wrong address. Politely inquire if anyone is holding your parcel hostage.

4. Contact your local post office.

If 48 hours have passed since the "out for delivery" scan with no box in sight, it‘s time to escalate. Find the phone number for your local USPS branch and give them a ring. Provide your tracking number and ask to speak to a delivery supervisor. In most cases, they‘ll be able to look up the GPS coordinates of where the package was last scanned and get to the bottom of the issue.

5. Submit a missing mail search.

If your conversation with USPS doesn‘t uncover your package‘s whereabouts, initiate an official missing mail search request. You‘ll need to sign into or create a USPS account, then provide key details like your tracking number, delivery address, and contents. The postal service will conduct a search and notify you if the item is located.

6. File an insurance claim.

In the unfortunate event that your package is indeed lost, stolen, or damaged, you‘ll want to file an insurance claim to recoup the value. The caveat here is that only the sender can actually submit the paperwork and receive the funds. If you‘re the recipient, contact the seller and provide them with your tracking number, proof of damage/loss, and any other evidence like photos or videos. They should work with you to complete the claims process with USPS.

Heading Off Headaches: Tips to Prevent Delivery Drama

Of course, the best way to deal with USPS delivery issues is to prevent them from happening in the first place. While you can‘t control every factor, a little proactive planning and smart shopping can help ensure your "out for delivery" package actually makes it into your hands.

Sign up for Informed Delivery.

Knowledge is power, especially when it comes to package tracking. By signing up for the USPS Informed Delivery service, you‘ll get a daily digest email with scanned images of your incoming letter-sized mail plus package tracking details. It‘s an easy way to keep tabs on all your deliveries without constantly refreshing the tracking page.

Opt for signature confirmation.

If you‘re having a particularly valuable or time-sensitive item delivered, it‘s worth springing for USPS‘s Signature Confirmation add-on service. Starting at $3.45, it ensures that your package won‘t be left unattended by requiring a signature from the recipient or a designated agent. For an extra layer of security, their Adult Signature service mandates that only a person over 21 with a valid ID can accept the delivery.

Make your home delivery-friendly.

Take a critical look at your property from a mail carrier‘s perspective. Is your house number clearly visible from the street? Are there any tripping hazards or obstructions on the path to your door? Is your porch well-lit and free of clutter? Making your home as safe and accessible as possible increases the odds of a successful "out for delivery" handoff. Consider adding delivery instructions to your USPS account too.

Get a P.O. box.

This classic tip is still one of the most foolproof ways to guarantee your packages arrive safely. For a small yearly fee, you can rent a P.O. box at your local post office and have all your mail and packages delivered there. Not only does it prevent porch piracy, but it also saves your carrier time and hassle. Just make sure to use your box‘s street address rather than P.O. box number when ordering online.

USPS vs. The Competition

"Out for delivery" is one of those nail-biting phrases that elicits a similar reaction no matter which carrier you‘re dealing with. But how does USPS‘s definition and notification stack up to the other major players in the parcel game? Let‘s take a look:

Carrier "Out for Delivery" Meaning Latest Delivery Time Notification Method
USPS Package scanned at distribution center and placed on truck for local delivery 10 PM (most arrive by 8 PM) Tracking number lookup on USPS.com or USPS app
UPS Package scanned on truck for delivery in your area 7 PM (as late as 9 PM during holidays) UPS My Choice email/text updates, UPS app, tracking number lookup
FedEx Package scanned at local facility and placed on truck for delivery 8 PM (though most arrive by 5 PM) FedEx Delivery Manager email/text alerts, FedEx app, tracking number lookup
Amazon Package out for delivery by Amazon driver or carrier partner 10 PM (though most arrive by 8 PM) Amazon app push notification, email updates, tracking info in your order details

As you can see, "out for delivery" more or less means the same thing across carriers, give or take a few hours on the delivery window. The key difference is in how (and how often) you‘re notified of this status change.

Generally, if you sign up for UPS My Choice, FedEx Delivery Manager, or Amazon‘s order update notifications, you‘ll get a heads up as soon as your package switches to "out for delivery," giving you ample time to adjust your plans accordingly. USPS offers package alerts as part of its Informed Delivery program, but you have to actively sign up and opt into email/text updates to receive them.

As far as overall performance goes, the carriers are neck and neck these days in terms of on-time delivery percentage and average wait time after "out for delivery" scans. A 2022 analysis by Convey found that:

  • USPS delivered 95% of packages on time, with an average of 1.7 package transit days
  • UPS delivered 96% of packages on time, with an average of 1.8 transit days
  • FedEx delivered 95% of packages on time, with an average of 1.8 transit days

So while USPS may still have a slight edge when it comes to speed, you can expect reasonably reliable "out for delivery" service no matter which carrier you choose. The moral of the story? Diversify your deliveries, and always spring for tracking.

The Future of "Out for Delivery"

It‘s no secret that the explosive growth of e-commerce, especially post-COVID, has dramatically increased the volume of packages moving through the USPS system. In 2022 alone, over 9.6 billion packages were delivered during the holiday season, up from 7.6 billion in 2021. And with online shopping showing no signs of slowing down, that number is only expected to grow.

So how is USPS innovating to keep up with demand and improve the "out for delivery" experience? One key initiative is the Delivering for America plan, a 10-year roadmap for modernizing the Postal Service‘s infrastructure, technology, and processes.

Some of the ways USPS aims to optimize delivery include:

  • Investing in new package processing equipment to boost capacity and efficiency
  • Improving delivery vehicle fleet with 66,000 electric vehicles by 2028
  • Enhancing package visibility with more granular tracking events
  • Expanding seven-day-a-week delivery service to handle increased volume
  • Implementing AI and machine learning for more accurate delivery time estimates

For us consumers, this will hopefully translate to fewer "out for delivery" disappearing acts, more proactive communication, and an all-around smoother experience. But experts also caution that our expectations for lightning-fast, ultra-reliable delivery may need to shift as well.

"With the sheer volume of packages moving through the system, there are going to be hiccups and delays. That‘s just the reality," says Dr. Stephanie Pearson, professor of supply chain management at Pace University. "As shoppers, we need to build in extra buffer time, especially around the holidays. Don‘t order something on Monday and expect it by Tuesday unless you‘re willing to pay for expedited shipping."

She also encourages consumers to embrace "out for delivery" uncertainty as an opportunity to practice mindfulness and patience. "Instead of refreshing your tracking page obsessively, distract yourself with other activities. Read a book, call a friend, take a walk. Your package will get there when it gets there."

Wise words, indeed. At the end of the day, while "out for delivery" may sometimes feel more like "out to lunch," keeping a cool head and some perspective is key. With a little know-how and a lot of deep breathing, we can all survive the wait and savor the sweet moment of package arrival.

Happy tracking, fellow shoppers.